The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Mjällby AIF v Hammarby IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 15:30 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 13.84%7.23fair odd
EV +3.80%
Edge +0.507%
Kelly +0.585%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.64%13.84%13.84%15.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.696.727.5017.24%14.95%14.87%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visit)

Prediction 66.41%1.51fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -5.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.68%66.41%66.45%68.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.391.401.4776.92%72.03%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.75%5.06fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.308%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.63%19.75%19.71%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.634.605.0023.09%21.59%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 13.84%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 66.41%; Draw: 19.75%. For Mjällby AIF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +3.80%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -1.23%E -0.246%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +3.80%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -1.23%E -0.246%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 15:23
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +3.80%E +0.507%K +0.585%G +0.022%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -1.23%E -0.246%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 15:15
Pinnacle🎯7.43I 13.46%NM 12.84%EV +2.83%E +0.381%K +0.441%G +0.012%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.70%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.47%EV -7.95%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 15:26
LowVig.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.73%EV +2.42%E +0.327%K +0.378%G +0.009%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.80%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:26
BetOnline.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.73%EV +2.42%E +0.327%K +0.378%G +0.009%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.80%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:26
BetAnything🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.73%EV +2.42%E +0.327%K +0.378%G +0.009%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.80%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.64%EV -0.350%E -0.049%K -0.057%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -11.68%E -8.78%K -35.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 15:15
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.88%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 15:05
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.01%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%EV -10.12%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:25
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.01%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%EV -10.12%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 15:25
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 15:01
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:23
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:23
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:15
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 15:23
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.02%E -6.59%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 15:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -9.02%E -6.59%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 14:45
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -9.02%E -6.59%K -24.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 14:44
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -3.12%E -0.445%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 14:45
Betsson🎯6.89I 14.51%NM 13.80%EV -4.64%E -0.674%K -0.788%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.48%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV -4.79%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 15:23
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -6.58%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -5.04%E -3.52%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.18%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 15:04
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.58%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.23%E -0.246%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:23
SportsBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -6.58%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -8.36%E -6.06%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 15:23
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -6.58%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -8.36%E -6.06%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 15:15
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -6.58%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -6.58%E -0.975%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -10.35%E -7.67%K -29.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 14:45
NordicBet🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -7.27%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -6.37%E -4.52%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 15:23
Coolbet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.54%EV -8.65%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.27%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 15:04
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.23%E -0.246%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 14:45
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 15:21
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 15:22
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.08%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.08%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.08%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 15:05
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.08%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.13%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 15:15
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 15:15
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 15:05
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.08%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-25 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -11.02%E -8.22%K -32.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.08%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 15:23
LiveScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -10.04%E -1.54%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -11.02%E -8.22%K -32.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.08%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 15:15
1xBet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.49%EV -10.73%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -5.70%E -4.02%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 07:05
GTbets🎯6.43I 15.55%NM 14.79%EV -11.01%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -2.38%E -1.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.54%EV -8.54%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 07:04
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -13.50%E -2.16%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -8.36%E -6.06%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.65%EV -15.57%E -2.55%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.71%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -10.12%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 15:03
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.36%E -6.06%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.21%E -0.654%K -0.822%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-25 14:44
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 07:41
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 14:45
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 14:45
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 15:22
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -16.96%E -2.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.42%EV -13.67%E -10.52%K -45.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-25 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -19.73%E -3.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.62%EV -9.69%E -7.12%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -7.16%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-10-25 15:23
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-10-25 15:23
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-10-25 15:23
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%0.9%2026-10-25 15:26
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.64%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.36%1.3%2026-10-25 15:26