StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mjällby AIF v Hammarby IF

2026-10-25 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (9 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mjällby AIF (Hemma)

Prognos 17.24%5.80rättvist odds
EV +16.35%
Fördel +2.42%
Kelly +2.84%
Tillväxt +0.465%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.45%17.22%17.27%18.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.705.555.506.7521.28%18.00%18.18%14.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Borta)

Prognos 61.15%1.64rättvist odds
EV -4.61%
Fördel -2.96%
Kelly -8.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.91%61.12%61.03%65.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.391.481.501.5671.94%67.78%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.62%4.63rättvist odds
EV +2.67%
Fördel +0.563%
Kelly +0.713%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.52%21.66%21.70%22.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.284.254.7525.64%23.34%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Mjällby AIF (Hemma): 17.24%; Hammarby IF (Borta): 61.15%; Oavgjort: 21.62%. För Mjällby AIF (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.80. 10 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 6.75, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +16.35%.

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV +3.43%E +0.571%K +0.685%G +0.023%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 15:50
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV +3.43%E +0.571%K +0.685%G +0.023%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -12.56%E -8.78%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 15:50
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -13.17%E -9.28%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 15:49
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -13.78%E -9.78%K -33.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -14.39%E -10.28%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -14.39%E -10.28%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 15:50
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -1.75%E -0.306%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 17:07
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.06%E -4.64%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 16:24
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -9.50%E -6.42%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:10
Betsson🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.39%EV -5.88%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.88%EV -4.61%E -2.96%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.73%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:39
Pinnacle🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.27%EV -6.23%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.02%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 17:35
NordicBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.64%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.06%E -4.64%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 16:39
1xBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 17:14
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 16:24
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -12.09%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.05%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.71%EV -12.46%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-18 16:24
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.22%E -3.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 17:19
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:15
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 17:09
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 17.15%EV -14.67%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 61.08%EV -15.01%E -10.80%K -38.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.77%EV -15.70%E -4.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-18 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.54%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.34%E -7.82%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -11.38%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 17:24
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 16:39
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.70%E -4.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -18.98%E -4.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -12.56%E -8.78%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-18 17:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%13.6%2026-10-18 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Arbitrage (9 kombinationer) +0.03%Unibet (SE) 6.75 (14.8%) / Betsson 1.56 (64.1%) / Unibet (SE) 4.75 (21.1%)Visa alla 9 kombinationer
Mjällby AIF (Hemma)Hammarby IF (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%