Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mjällby AIF v Hammarby IF

2026-10-25 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 17.24%5.80cote équitable
EV +16.35%
Avantage +2.42%
Kelly +2.84%
Croissance +0.465%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.45%17.22%17.27%18.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.705.555.506.7521.28%18.00%18.18%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.15%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.61%
Avantage -2.96%
Kelly -8.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.91%61.12%61.03%65.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.481.501.5671.94%67.78%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.62%4.63cote équitable
EV +2.67%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.713%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.52%21.66%21.70%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.284.254.7525.64%23.34%23.53%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Mjällby AIF (Local) : 17.24% ; Hammarby IF (Visiteur) : 61.15% ; Match nul : 21.62%. Pour Mjällby AIF (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.80. 10 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.75, pour une espérance positive de +16.35%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV +3.43%E +0.571%K +0.685%G +0.023%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 15:50
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV +3.43%E +0.571%K +0.685%G +0.023%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -12.56%E -8.78%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 15:50
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -13.17%E -9.28%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 15:49
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -13.78%E -9.78%K -33.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -14.39%E -10.28%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -14.39%E -10.28%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 15:50
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -1.75%E -0.306%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 17:07
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.06%E -4.64%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 16:24
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -9.50%E -6.42%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:10
Betsson🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.39%EV -5.88%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.88%EV -4.61%E -2.96%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.73%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:39
Pinnacle🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.27%EV -6.23%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.02%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 17:35
NordicBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.64%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.06%E -4.64%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 16:39
1xBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 17:14
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 16:24
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -12.09%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.05%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.71%EV -12.46%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-18 16:24
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.22%E -3.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 17:19
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:15
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 17:09
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 17.15%EV -14.67%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 61.08%EV -15.01%E -10.80%K -38.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.77%EV -15.70%E -4.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-18 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.54%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.34%E -7.82%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -11.38%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 17:24
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 16:39
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.70%E -4.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -18.98%E -4.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -12.56%E -8.78%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-18 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%13.6%2026-10-18 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Arbitrage (9 combinaisons) +0.03%Unibet (SE) 6.75 (14.8%) / Betsson 1.56 (64.1%) / Unibet (SE) 4.75 (21.1%)Afficher les 9 combinaisons
Mjällby AIF (Local)Hammarby IF (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%