StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mjällby AIF v Hammarby IF

2026-10-25 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (9 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Mjällby AIF (Heim)

Prognose 17.24%5.80faire Quote
EV +16.35%
Vorteil +2.42%
Kelly +2.84%
Wachstum +0.465%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.45%17.22%17.27%18.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.705.555.506.7521.28%18.00%18.18%14.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Auswärts)

Prognose 61.15%1.64faire Quote
EV -4.61%
Vorteil -2.96%
Kelly -8.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.56

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.91%61.12%61.03%65.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.391.481.501.5671.94%67.78%66.67%64.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.62%4.63faire Quote
EV +2.67%
Vorteil +0.563%
Kelly +0.713%
Wachstum +0.019%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.52%21.66%21.70%22.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.904.284.254.7525.64%23.34%23.53%21.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Mjällby AIF (Heim): 17.24%; Hammarby IF (Auswärts): 61.15%; Unentschieden: 21.62%. Für Mjällby AIF (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.80. 10 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 6.75 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +16.35%.

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +16.35%E +2.42%K +2.84%G +0.465%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.02%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV +2.67%E +0.563%K +0.713%G +0.019%2.5%2026-10-18 15:50
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:50
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +7.74%E +1.24%K +1.47%G +0.114%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV +3.43%E +0.571%K +0.685%G +0.023%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.05%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 15:50
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV +3.43%E +0.571%K +0.685%G +0.023%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.50%EV -12.56%E -8.78%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 15:50
BetRivers🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -13.17%E -9.28%K -31.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 15:49
TABtouch🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -13.78%E -9.78%K -33.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -14.39%E -10.28%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -0.022%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -14.39%E -10.28%K -35.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.17%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 15:50
FanDuel🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.48%EV -1.75%E -0.306%K -0.371%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 17:07
LeoVegas🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -7.06%E -4.64%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.73%E -0.607%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 16:24
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.19%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -9.50%E -6.42%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -4.89%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:10
Betsson🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.39%EV -5.88%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.88%EV -4.61%E -2.96%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.73%EV -5.54%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 16:39
Pinnacle🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.27%EV -6.23%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.02%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 17:35
NordicBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.64%E -1.63%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -7.06%E -4.64%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 16:39
1xBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 17:14
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 16:24
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.50%E -1.81%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.13%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 17:09
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -12.09%E -2.37%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.05%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.71%EV -12.46%E -3.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-18 16:24
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.22%E -3.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 17:19
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.45%E -4.21%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 17:15
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.21%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 17:09
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.81%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -6.40%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 17.15%EV -14.67%E -2.96%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 61.08%EV -15.01%E -10.80%K -38.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.77%EV -15.70%E -4.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-18 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.54%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -11.34%E -7.82%K -25.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -11.38%E -2.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 17:24
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 16:39
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.13%EV -18.12%E -3.81%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.79%EV -11.95%E -8.30%K -27.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -15.70%E -4.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 17:44
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.31%EV -18.98%E -4.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18%EV -12.56%E -8.78%K -29.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.51%EV -13.54%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-18 17:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%13.6%2026-10-18 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-18 16:40
Arbitrage (9 Kombinationen) +0.03%Unibet (SE) 6.75 (14.8%) / Betsson 1.56 (64.1%) / Unibet (SE) 4.75 (21.1%)Alle 9 Kombinationen anzeigen
Mjällby AIF (Heim)Hammarby IF (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Unibet (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
ATG (SE)🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%
Svenska Spel🎯 6.75 (14.8%)Betsson🎯 1.56 (64.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.75 (21.1%)+0.030%