Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v Degerfors IF

2026-08-09 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 60.58%1.65fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.57%60.57%60.50%63.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.511.501.6172.46%66.36%66.67%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 17.21%5.81fair odd
EV +10.15%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.191%

assuming max odds 6.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.21%17.17%17.35%18.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.345.296.4021.74%18.73%18.89%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.21%4.50fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.467%
Kelly +0.597%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.16%22.26%22.16%23.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.114.104.6026.32%24.32%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Malmo FF (Local): 60.58%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 17.21%; Draw: 22.21%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.40, producing a positive expected value of +10.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%EV +10.15%E +1.59%K +1.88%G +0.191%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%EV +2.15%E +0.467%K +0.597%G +0.013%2.7%2026-08-02 14:35
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.73%E -6.53%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -0.176%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -3.40%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -9.73%E -6.53%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -0.176%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -3.40%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:35
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 60.60%EV -2.46%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.97%EV -1.04%E -0.180%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.43%EV -3.40%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 12:09
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 60.60%EV -2.46%E -1.53%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.97%EV -1.04%E -0.180%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.43%EV -3.40%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 12:10
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -7.91%E -5.21%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -1.04%E -0.180%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.06%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:15
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.99%EV -7.91%E -5.21%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -1.04%E -0.180%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -10.06%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:15
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -10.34%E -6.99%K -21.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.04%E -0.180%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -10.34%E -6.99%K -21.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.04%E -0.180%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -10.34%E -6.99%K -21.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -1.04%E -0.180%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -8.52%E -5.64%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.90%E -0.333%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 60.71%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.05%EV -5.00%E -0.905%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.25%EV -6.07%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.34%E -0.971%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -3.85%E -0.888%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.34%E -0.971%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 13:20
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -5.34%E -0.971%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 13:19
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -12.16%E -8.38%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -5.34%E -0.971%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 14:35
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -12.76%E -8.86%K -29.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -5.34%E -0.971%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:35
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.54%EV -8.09%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -5.62%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -6.70%E -4.35%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -9.64%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -7.91%E -5.21%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.64%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.95%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 13:20
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 61.85%EV -16.40%E -11.88%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.26%EV -9.64%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.89%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-02 14:35
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -10.50%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -4.51%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -10.50%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 12:10
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.10%E -3.93%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 14:14
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.73%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:25
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:14
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.31%E -4.78%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.95%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:14
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.67%EV -10.94%E -7.44%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.72%EV -14.81%E -2.99%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.61%EV -13.84%E -3.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 13:19
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.57%EV -10.94%E -7.44%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.69%EV -14.81%E -2.99%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -15.67%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 12:09
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.97%EV -9.13%E -6.08%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -15.67%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -14.50%E -3.77%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 12:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.45%EV -12.76%E -8.86%K -29.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -18.25%E -3.84%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -15.62%E -4.11%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-02 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.34%E -6.99%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -19.11%E -4.07%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.17%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.95%EV -10.94%E -7.44%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.84%EV -20.83%E -4.53%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -13.39%E -3.43%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 59.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%13.5%2026-08-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 52.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.22%23.0%2026-08-02 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 52.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.22%23.0%2026-08-02 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 52.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.22%23.0%2026-08-02 13:25
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.53%ATG (SE) 1.61 (62.4%) / Unibet (SE) 6.40 (15.7%) / Unibet (SE) 4.60 (21.9%)Show all 2 combinations
Malmo FF (Local)Degerfors IF (Visit)DrawMargin
ATG (SE) 1.61 (62.4%)Unibet (SE) 6.40 (15.7%)Unibet (SE) 4.60 (21.9%)+0.527%
Svenska Spel 1.61 (62.4%)Unibet (SE) 6.40 (15.7%)Unibet (SE) 4.60 (21.9%)+0.527%