Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 1–2 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 63.94%1.56fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -6.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.32%64.01%63.94%67.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.431.441.5175.76%69.74%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 14.80%6.76fair odd
EV +11.02%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.187%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.98%14.78%14.74%16.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.336.257.5018.18%15.81%16.00%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.25%4.70fair odd
EV +4.15%
Edge +0.846%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.21%21.32%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.364.304.9025.00%22.95%23.26%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmo FF (Local): 63.94%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 14.80%; Draw: 21.25%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.76. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.62%E +0.517%K +0.603%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +3.62%E +0.517%K +0.603%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -0.085%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.23%E -0.485%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -0.085%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.23%E -0.485%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -4.09%E -2.72%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.41%EV -2.45%E -0.372%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -9.46%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.63%EV -3.45%E -2.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -5.42%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.26%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:34
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 03:55
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:24
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 03:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.73%EV -9.84%E -6.98%K -24.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 03:54
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.76%E -8.52%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -5.27%E -0.823%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 11:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.22%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.92%EV -9.88%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 03:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -11.76%E -8.52%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:35
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 06:05
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -9.84%E -6.98%K -24.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:54
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.18%EV -15.60%E -11.81%K -48.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -8.56%E -5.99%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -14.89%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -15.63%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.14%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -17.11%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:54
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.30%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%1.9%2026-08-09 11:55

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