Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Malmo FF v Degerfors IF

2026-08-09 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prévision 61.33%1.63cote équitable
EV -5.55%
Avantage -3.60%
Kelly -10.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.95%61.23%61.42%63.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.501.5472.46%67.21%66.67%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.64%6.01cote équitable
EV +6.50%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.21%16.69%16.53%18.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.535.506.4021.74%18.09%18.18%15.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.03%4.54cote équitable
EV +1.33%
Avantage +0.288%
Kelly +0.368%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.16%22.08%22.05%22.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.184.204.6026.32%23.94%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Malmo FF (Local) : 61.33% ; Degerfors IF (Visiteur) : 16.64% ; Match nul : 22.03%. Pour Degerfors IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 6.01. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.40, pour une espérance positive de +6.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%EV +6.50%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.078%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%EV +1.33%E +0.288%K +0.368%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-02 14:35
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%EV +6.50%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.078%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%EV +1.33%E +0.288%K +0.368%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-02 14:40
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%EV +6.50%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.078%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%EV +1.33%E +0.288%K +0.368%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-02 14:40
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.85%EV -1.49%E -0.251%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.18%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:05
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.97%EV -2.49%E -0.424%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.78%E -4.46%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:49
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.78%E -4.46%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -8.62%E -5.78%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.18%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -8.62%E -5.78%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.18%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -7.39%E -4.89%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -5.15%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:19
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 13:20
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:58
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -11.07%E -7.63%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 14:35
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:35
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -12.29%E -8.60%K -28.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -10.14%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -12.29%E -8.60%K -28.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -10.14%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -5.55%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -12.64%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -12.64%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 14:49
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 61.85%EV -15.36%E -11.13%K -40.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.26%EV -12.64%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.89%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-02 14:35
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.15%EV -10.45%E -7.16%K -22.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -15.13%E -2.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.63%EV -14.53%E -3.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 14:58
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.80%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:25
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.57%EV -9.84%E -6.70%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.69%EV -17.63%E -3.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -15.19%E -3.95%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.45%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -20.96%E -4.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -16.30%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-02 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -21.79%E -4.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.95%EV -9.84%E -6.70%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.84%EV -23.45%E -5.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.07%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.07%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-08-02 15:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 46.27%2.46I 40.65%NM 27.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 26.65%50.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 38.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 47.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 14.33%70.2%2026-08-02 15:10