Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Malmo FF v Degerfors IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC

Score final : Malmo FF 1–2 Degerfors IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prévision 63.94%1.56cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -6.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.32%64.01%63.94%67.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.431.441.5175.76%69.74%69.44%66.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.80%6.76cote équitable
EV +11.02%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.98%14.78%14.74%16.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.336.257.5018.18%15.81%16.00%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.25%4.70cote équitable
EV +4.15%
Avantage +0.846%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.21%21.32%22.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.364.304.9025.00%22.95%23.26%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Malmo FF (Local) : 63.94% ; Degerfors IF (Visiteur) : 14.80% ; Match nul : 21.25%. Pour Degerfors IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.76. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +11.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.62%E +0.517%K +0.603%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +3.62%E +0.517%K +0.603%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -0.085%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.23%E -0.485%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -0.085%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.23%E -0.485%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -4.09%E -2.72%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.41%EV -2.45%E -0.372%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -9.46%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.63%EV -3.45%E -2.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -5.42%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.26%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:34
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 03:55
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:24
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 03:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.73%EV -9.84%E -6.98%K -24.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 03:54
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.76%E -8.52%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -5.27%E -0.823%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 11:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.22%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.92%EV -9.88%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 03:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -11.76%E -8.52%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:35
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 06:05
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -9.84%E -6.98%K -24.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:54
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.18%EV -15.60%E -11.81%K -48.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -8.56%E -5.99%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -14.89%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -15.63%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.14%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -17.11%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:54
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.30%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%1.9%2026-08-09 11:55