StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Malmo FF v Degerfors IF

2026-08-09 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

36 spelbolag (8 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Malmo FF (Hemma)

Prognos 61.33%1.63rättvist odds
EV -5.55%
Fördel -3.60%
Kelly -10.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.95%61.23%61.42%63.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.381.491.501.5472.46%67.21%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Borta)

Prognos 16.64%6.01rättvist odds
EV +6.50%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +1.20%
Tillväxt +0.078%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.21%16.69%16.53%18.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.535.506.4021.74%18.09%18.18%15.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 22.03%4.54rättvist odds
EV +1.33%
Fördel +0.288%
Kelly +0.368%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.16%22.08%22.05%22.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.184.204.6026.32%23.94%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Malmo FF (Hemma): 61.33%; Degerfors IF (Borta): 16.64%; Oavgjort: 22.03%. För Degerfors IF (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.01. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 6.40, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +6.50%.

Spelbolagsodds (36 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%EV +6.50%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.078%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%EV +1.33%E +0.288%K +0.368%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-02 14:35
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%EV +6.50%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.078%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%EV +1.33%E +0.288%K +0.368%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-02 14:40
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%EV +6.50%E +1.02%K +1.20%G +0.078%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%EV +1.33%E +0.288%K +0.368%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-02 14:40
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.85%EV -1.49%E -0.251%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.18%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:05
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.97%EV -2.49%E -0.424%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.78%E -4.46%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:49
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.78%E -4.46%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -8.62%E -5.78%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.18%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.52%EV -8.62%E -5.78%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.49%E -0.601%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -4.18%E -0.961%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:35
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:39
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:35
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -4.32%E -0.751%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:34
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.88%EV -7.39%E -4.89%K -14.49%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -5.15%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:19
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.28%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.62%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.38%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 13:20
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:58
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 14:49
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -11.07%E -7.63%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 14:35
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 61.99%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -8.48%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:35
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -12.29%E -8.60%K -28.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -10.14%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -12.29%E -8.60%K -28.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.41%EV -10.14%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.69%E -2.36%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-02 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -5.55%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -12.64%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -12.64%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 14:49
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 61.85%EV -15.36%E -11.13%K -40.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.26%EV -12.64%E -2.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.89%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-02 14:35
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.15%EV -10.45%E -7.16%K -22.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -15.13%E -2.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.63%EV -14.53%E -3.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-02 14:58
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -16.80%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.49%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:25
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.57%EV -9.84%E -6.70%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.69%EV -17.63%E -3.56%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -15.19%E -3.95%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 13:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 59.45%EV -11.68%E -8.11%K -26.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -20.96%E -4.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -16.30%E -4.29%K -5.82%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-02 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -9.23%E -6.24%K -19.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -21.79%E -4.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.89%E -2.97%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 13:19
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.95%EV -9.84%E -6.70%K -20.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.84%EV -23.45%E -5.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -14.09%E -3.61%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.07%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.07%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-08-02 15:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 46.27%2.46I 40.65%NM 27.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 26.65%50.1%2026-08-02 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 38.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 47.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 14.33%70.2%2026-08-02 15:10