Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Malmo FF v Degerfors IF

Inizio: 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC

Finale: Malmo FF 1–2 Degerfors IF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Malmo FF (Casa)

Previsione 63.94%1.56quota equa
EV -3.45%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -6.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.32%64.01%63.94%67.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.431.441.5175.76%69.74%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Degerfors IF (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.80%6.76quota equa
EV +11.02%
Vantaggio +1.47%
Kelly +1.69%
Crescita +0.187%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.98%14.78%14.74%16.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.336.257.5018.18%15.81%16.00%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.25%4.70quota equa
EV +4.15%
Vantaggio +0.846%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.87%21.21%21.32%22.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.364.304.9025.00%22.95%23.26%20.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Malmo FF (Casa): 63.94%; Degerfors IF (Trasferta): 14.80%; Pareggio: 21.25%. Per Degerfors IF (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.76. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.02%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +11.02%E +1.47%K +1.69%G +0.187%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +4.15%E +0.846%K +1.06%G +0.044%2.7%2026-08-09 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV +3.62%E +0.517%K +0.603%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +3.62%E +0.517%K +0.603%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:54
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -0.085%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.23%E -0.485%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -0.085%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -2.23%E -0.485%K -0.619%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV -0.825%E -0.123%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.30%EV -4.09%E -2.72%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.41%EV -2.45%E -0.372%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.29%EV -9.46%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.63%EV -3.45%E -2.28%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.78%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.59%EV -5.42%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.26%EV -4.57%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:34
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 03:55
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:24
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.35%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 03:55
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.73%EV -9.84%E -6.98%K -24.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.97%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 03:54
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -3.79%E -0.582%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -11.76%E -8.52%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -5.27%E -0.823%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.57%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 11:50
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.22%EV -6.00%E -4.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.92%EV -9.88%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 03:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -11.76%E -8.52%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.19%EV -13.04%E -9.59%K -36.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.19%EV -7.49%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:35
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.33%EV -4.72%E -3.17%K -9.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.22%EV -8.23%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:35
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.36%E -3.62%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 06:05
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:05
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:10
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.28%E -5.02%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.83%EV -9.84%E -6.98%K -24.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.67%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:54
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.98%E -3.75%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.18%EV -15.60%E -11.81%K -48.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -11.19%E -1.86%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.93%EV -8.56%E -5.99%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -14.89%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -15.63%E -2.74%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.14%EV -9.20%E -6.48%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -17.11%E -3.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.85%EV -8.61%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:54
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.92%E -5.50%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.48%E -7.49%K -26.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.59%E -3.38%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-09 11:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%0.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.38%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.30%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44%1.9%2026-08-09 11:55