Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 17:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 0–0 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 54.91%1.82fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%54.84%54.90%56.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.691.691.7662.89%59.31%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 21.76%4.60fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.594%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.61%21.77%21.86%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.234.204.5026.67%23.62%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.33%4.29fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.236%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%23.38%23.24%24.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.924.3327.78%25.39%25.48%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmo FF (Local): 54.91%; AIK (Visit): 21.76%; Draw: 23.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.93%EV -7.75%E -4.61%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.02%E +0.236%K +0.306%G +0.003%6.4%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.12%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV -4.25%E -0.967%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -0.846%E -0.199%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.12%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV -4.25%E -0.967%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -0.846%E -0.199%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.12%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV -4.25%E -0.967%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -0.846%E -0.199%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.43%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.01%E -0.479%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 05:40
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.96%EV -3.91%E -2.23%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -4.25%E -0.967%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.18%E -0.766%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 16:29
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.05%EV -4.46%E -2.56%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.82%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.14%EV -3.41%E -0.824%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.73%E -0.611%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.09%EV -3.88%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.73%E -0.611%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.09%EV -3.88%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:35
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.28%EV -2.73%E -0.611%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.09%EV -3.88%E -0.942%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.25%E -0.967%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -11.05%E -6.82%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -4.25%E -0.967%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 16:35
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.30%EV -3.36%E -1.91%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.28%EV -6.65%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.42%EV -4.81%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 11:05
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.43%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -5.51%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 16:50
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.62%EV -4.46%E -2.56%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.80%EV -5.13%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.58%EV -5.98%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -5.34%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:35
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:35
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -7.52%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 16:44
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.01%E -2.89%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -9.40%E -5.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.08%E -0.462%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.85%E -5.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.68%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.85%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.30%EV -7.75%E -4.61%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.17%E -0.712%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.30%EV -7.75%E -4.61%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.17%E -0.712%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -8.85%E -5.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -4.25%E -0.967%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 16:34
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -9.40%E -5.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -9.40%E -5.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -10.78%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.48%EV -9.95%E -6.07%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.05%E -3.56%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -9.40%E -5.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.02%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -10.18%E -2.64%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.69%EV -9.40%E -5.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.75%EV -9.69%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.56%EV -10.65%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 16:33
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.10%E -3.57%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.08%E -0.462%K -0.594%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 13:10
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:44
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.65%E -3.91%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.40%E -5.70%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -5.78%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.00%EV -8.85%E -5.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -12.96%E -3.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-07 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.15%EV -9.95%E -6.07%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -14.05%E -3.56%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.15%EV -9.95%E -6.07%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -14.05%E -3.56%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.15%EV -9.95%E -6.07%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -14.05%E -3.56%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -11.05%E -6.82%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -18.40%E -4.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -11.34%E -2.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.05%E -6.82%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%EV -12.69%E -7.98%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -11.87%E -2.93%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -12.51%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-07 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -16.01%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -16.01%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 13:10
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -16.01%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 13:05
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.30%E -4.97%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.61%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -16.01%E -4.45%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.14%0.5%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.17%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.12%0.6%2026-09-07 16:55
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-09-07 16:50