Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v AIK

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 54.60%1.83fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.77%54.64%54.54%56.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.691.701.7762.89%59.25%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 22.36%4.47fair odd
EV +5.09%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%22.27%22.49%23.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.184.184.7027.40%23.95%23.92%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.04%4.34fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.09%22.97%24.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.913.904.2527.78%25.58%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Malmo FF (Local): 54.60%; AIK (Visit): 22.36%; Draw: 23.04%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.70, producing a positive expected value of +5.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.36%E -1.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +5.09%E +1.08%K +1.38%G +0.070%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.36%E -1.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +5.09%E +1.08%K +1.38%G +0.070%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.36%E -1.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +5.09%E +1.08%K +1.38%G +0.070%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV +2.85%E +0.620%K +0.793%G +0.023%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -2.08%E -0.490%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:14
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:34
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.62%E -0.368%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.30%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -3.18%E -0.735%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 17:24
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 20:15
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.99%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -15.91%E -4.36%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -9.36%E -5.64%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -15.91%E -4.36%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 22:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.85%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.55%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -4.39%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -6.63%E -3.88%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -7.21%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.26%EV -2.54%E -0.601%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.54%E -3.20%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.33%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.90%E -2.22%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -8.77%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -6.00%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 17:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.18%E -4.22%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -12.64%E -7.90%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -12.80%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 20:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -11.55%E -7.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 53.77%EV -13.18%E -8.29%K -22.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -15.91%E -4.36%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.77%EV -10.45%E -6.37%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -18.39%E -5.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.52%EV -15.21%E -4.13%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.78%EV -12.64%E -7.90%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -18.39%E -5.04%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-31 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%13.6%2026-08-31 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-31 14:45