Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Malmo FF v AIK

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Malmo FF (Casa)

Previsione 54.65%1.83quota equa
EV -3.27%
Vantaggio -1.84%
Kelly -4.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.77%54.71%54.64%56.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.691.701.7762.89%59.25%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AIK (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.30%4.48quota equa
EV +4.83%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescita +0.063%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.70%22.18%22.44%23.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.184.184.7027.40%23.92%23.92%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.04%4.34quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -0.485%
Kelly -0.634%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.26%23.12%22.92%24.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.913.904.2527.78%25.58%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Malmo FF (Casa): 54.65%; AIK (Trasferta): 22.30%; Pareggio: 23.04%. Per AIK (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.48. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.70, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.83%.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV +2.59%E +0.564%K +0.721%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -2.06%E -0.485%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:14
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:34
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -3.43%E -0.791%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 17:24
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 20:15
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -9.28%E -5.59%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 22:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.85%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.55%EV -7.22%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -7.44%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.26%EV -2.52%E -0.596%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -9.00%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -5.98%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 17:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 04:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -11.46%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -16.36%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 53.77%EV -13.10%E -8.24%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.36%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.77%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -18.59%E -5.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.52%EV -15.20%E -4.13%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.78%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -18.59%E -5.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-31 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%13.6%2026-08-31 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-31 14:45