StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Malmo FF v AIK

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Direkter Vergleich

40 Wettanbieter (10 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Malmo FF (Heim)

Prognose 54.65%1.83faire Quote
EV -3.27%
Vorteil -1.84%
Kelly -4.24%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.77%54.71%54.64%56.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.591.691.701.7762.89%59.25%58.82%56.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.30%4.48faire Quote
EV +4.83%
Vorteil +1.03%
Kelly +1.30%
Wachstum +0.063%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.70%22.18%22.44%23.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.654.184.184.7027.40%23.92%23.92%21.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.04%4.34faire Quote
EV -2.06%
Vorteil -0.485%
Kelly -0.634%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.26%23.12%22.92%24.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.913.904.2527.78%25.58%25.64%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Malmo FF (Heim): 54.65%; AIK (Auswärts): 22.30%; Unentschieden: 23.04%. Für AIK (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.48. 4 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.70 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +4.83%.

Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV +2.59%E +0.564%K +0.721%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -2.06%E -0.485%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:14
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:34
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -3.43%E -0.791%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 17:24
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 20:15
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -9.28%E -5.59%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 22:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.85%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.55%EV -7.22%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -7.44%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.26%EV -2.52%E -0.596%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -9.00%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -5.98%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 17:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 04:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -11.46%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -16.36%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 53.77%EV -13.10%E -8.24%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.36%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.77%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -18.59%E -5.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.52%EV -15.20%E -4.13%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.78%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -18.59%E -5.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-31 17:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%13.6%2026-08-31 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-31 14:45