StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Malmo FF v AIK

2026-09-07 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Malmo FF (Hemma)

Prognos 54.65%1.83rättvist odds
EV -3.27%
Fördel -1.84%
Kelly -4.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.77%54.71%54.64%56.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.591.691.701.7762.89%59.25%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Borta)

Prognos 22.30%4.48rättvist odds
EV +4.83%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.30%
Tillväxt +0.063%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.70%22.18%22.44%23.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.654.184.184.7027.40%23.92%23.92%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.04%4.34rättvist odds
EV -2.06%
Fördel -0.485%
Kelly -0.634%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.26%23.12%22.92%24.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.913.904.2527.78%25.58%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Malmo FF (Hemma): 54.65%; AIK (Borta): 22.30%; Oavgjort: 23.04%. För AIK (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.48. 4 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.70, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +4.83%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.97%EV -3.27%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +4.83%E +1.03%K +1.30%G +0.063%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.51%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.88%EV +2.59%E +0.564%K +0.721%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -2.06%E -0.485%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 20:04
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:14
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:34
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -1.87%E -0.424%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -11.28%E -2.93%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -3.43%E -0.791%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -4.10%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 17:24
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 20:15
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.93%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.97%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.05%EV -9.28%E -5.59%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 22:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.85%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.55%EV -7.22%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -4.37%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.06%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -7.44%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.26%EV -2.52%E -0.596%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 21:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.89%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-31 22:30
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -9.00%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.16%EV -5.98%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -5.52%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 17:40
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 18:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -7.82%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 04:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.92%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -17.04%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-31 20:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -11.46%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -16.36%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -10.13%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 53.77%EV -13.10%E -8.24%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -16.36%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.43%EV -15.89%E -4.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-31 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.77%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -18.59%E -5.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.52%EV -15.20%E -4.13%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-31 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.78%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.58%EV -18.59%E -5.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.64%EV -12.43%E -3.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-31 17:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%13.6%2026-08-31 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-31 14:45