The School of Odds
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IK Sirius v Malmo FF

2026-08-31 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Sirius (Local)

Prediction 52.43%1.91fair odd
EV -4.59%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -5.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.10%52.28%52.48%54.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.731.8261.73%57.76%57.64%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmo FF (Visit)

Prediction 24.25%4.12fair odd
EV +4.29%
Edge +0.998%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.66%24.42%24.06%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.853.834.3030.30%25.96%26.14%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV -0.889%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.273%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.31%23.46%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.994.2527.78%25.40%25.06%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Sirius (Local): 52.43%; Malmo FF (Visit): 24.25%; Draw: 23.32%. For Malmo FF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.30, producing a positive expected value of +4.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +4.29%E +0.998%K +1.30%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -0.889%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-24 17:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +4.29%E +0.998%K +1.30%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -0.889%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-24 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +4.29%E +0.998%K +1.30%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -0.889%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-24 17:14
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.82%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -5.55%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 19:39
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.52%EV -7.19%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 17:24
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.05%E -0.489%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.78%E -5.05%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.93%E -7.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.88%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:14
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.88%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:14
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -11.93%E -7.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 17:14
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 17:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.88%E -6.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.21%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.21%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.21%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.89%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.46%EV -10.02%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.660%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.85%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.68%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.22%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-24 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.80%EV -15.07%E -9.30%K -24.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -12.68%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-24 17:19
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -7.21%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -15.11%E -4.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.63%EV -14.02%E -8.55%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -15.11%E -4.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-24 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -12.45%E -7.45%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -15.11%E -4.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-24 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.10%EV -8.78%E -5.05%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -18.75%E -5.60%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.88%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-24 17:19
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.95%EV -10.88%E -6.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -19.96%E -6.05%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.80%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-24 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%13.2%2026-08-24 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 13:09