Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 4.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Sirius (Local): 55.33%; Malmo FF (Visit): 22.55%; Draw: 22.12%. For Malmo FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.55%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.778%E -0.177%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -1.56%E -0.350%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -1.91%E -0.438%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -1.91%E -0.438%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.32%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -3.77%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.55%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.16%E -4.91%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.24%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -7.99%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -7.75%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.42%EV -8.45%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -2.66%E -0.605%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.21%E -0.973%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-31 16:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-31 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-31 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.24%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.16%E -4.91%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-31 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -12.58%E -7.96%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -9.26%E -5.65%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-31 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -11.48%E -7.17%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-31 16:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.38% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-08-31 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 16:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.70% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 16:55 |