Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Sirius v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC

Score final : IK Sirius 0–1 Malmo FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Sirius (Local)

Prévision 55.33%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -4.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.54%55.27%55.50%56.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.681.691.7563.29%59.56%59.17%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.55%4.43cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.328%
Kelly +0.422%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%22.52%22.48%23.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.094.094.5026.67%24.43%24.45%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.12%4.52cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.452%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%22.20%22.02%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.084.104.4526.32%24.53%24.39%22.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IK Sirius (Local) : 55.33% ; Malmo FF (Visiteur) : 22.55% ; Match nul : 22.12%. Pour Malmo FF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.43. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.55%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.778%E -0.177%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -1.56%E -0.350%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -1.91%E -0.438%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 16:29
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -1.91%E -0.438%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.32%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -3.77%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.55%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:50
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 16:30
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:40
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.16%E -4.91%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 16:49
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.24%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -7.99%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -7.75%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:35
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.42%EV -8.45%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -2.66%E -0.605%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.21%E -0.973%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 16:56
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:45
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.24%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.16%E -4.91%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -12.58%E -7.96%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -9.26%E -5.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -11.48%E -7.17%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-08-31 16:56
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-08-31 16:56
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.70%2.4%2026-08-31 16:55