Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Sirius v Malmo FF

Início: 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Sirius 0–1 Malmo FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Sirius (Local)

Previsão 55.33%1.81odd justa
EV -3.18%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -4.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.54%55.27%55.50%56.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.681.691.7563.29%59.56%59.17%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Previsão 22.55%4.43odd justa
EV +1.48%
Vantagem +0.328%
Kelly +0.422%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.38%22.52%22.48%23.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.094.094.5026.67%24.43%24.45%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.12%4.52odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.350%
Kelly -0.452%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.38%22.20%22.02%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.084.104.4526.32%24.53%24.39%22.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IK Sirius (Local): 55.33%; Malmo FF (Visitante): 22.55%; Empate: 22.12%. Para Malmo FF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.43. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.48%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%EV -3.18%E -1.82%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%EV +1.48%E +0.328%K +0.422%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.55%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.778%E -0.177%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -1.56%E -0.350%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -1.91%E -0.438%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 16:29
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.36%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -1.91%E -0.438%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.32%EV -3.26%E -0.760%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -3.77%E -0.867%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 16:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.55%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:50
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -6.50%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 16:30
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.90%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -4.84%E -2.81%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -4.88%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:40
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -5.39%E -3.15%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.16%E -4.91%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 16:49
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.24%EV -3.73%E -2.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.13%EV -7.99%E -1.96%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -7.75%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 16:35
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.97%EV -4.28%E -2.48%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.42%EV -8.45%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -2.66%E -0.605%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.98%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 16:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -4.21%E -0.973%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 16:56
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 16:45
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -5.94%E -3.50%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.32%EV -8.71%E -5.28%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.28%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.24%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -9.82%E -6.02%K -15.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.93%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -14.83%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-31 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.16%E -4.91%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.09%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -7.05%E -4.20%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.94%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.37%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -13.73%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -12.58%E -7.96%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-31 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -9.26%E -5.65%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -9.30%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -11.48%E -7.17%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.51%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 16:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-08-31 16:56
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-08-31 16:56
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.70%2.4%2026-08-31 16:55