StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IK Sirius v Malmo FF

2026-08-31 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (9 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IK Sirius (Hemma)

Prognos 52.43%1.91rättvist odds
EV -4.59%
Fördel -2.52%
Kelly -5.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.10%52.28%52.48%54.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.731.731.8261.73%57.76%57.64%54.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Malmo FF (Borta)

Prognos 24.25%4.12rättvist odds
EV +4.29%
Fördel +0.998%
Kelly +1.30%
Tillväxt +0.056%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.66%24.42%24.06%26.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.853.834.3030.30%25.96%26.14%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.32%4.29rättvist odds
EV -0.889%
Fördel -0.209%
Kelly -0.273%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.47%23.31%23.46%23.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.943.994.2527.78%25.40%25.06%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: IK Sirius (Hemma): 52.43%; Malmo FF (Borta): 24.25%; Oavgjort: 23.32%. För Malmo FF (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.12. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.30, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +4.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +4.29%E +0.998%K +1.30%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -0.889%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-24 17:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +4.29%E +0.998%K +1.30%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -0.889%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-24 17:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -6.16%E -3.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV +4.29%E +0.998%K +1.30%G +0.056%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -0.889%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-24 17:14
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.82%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.45%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -5.55%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 19:39
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -0.557%E -0.136%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:14
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.60%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.92%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.52%EV -7.19%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 17:24
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.05%E -0.489%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.78%E -5.05%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.39%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.93%E -7.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -10.22%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.88%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:14
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.68%E -3.75%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.88%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:14
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -11.93%E -7.10%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -6.62%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 17:14
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 17:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.26%E -4.72%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -10.88%E -6.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.21%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.21%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.21%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -7.83%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -12.55%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-24 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.30%E -5.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.89%EV -4.59%E -2.52%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.46%EV -10.02%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.65%EV -2.75%E -0.660%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.85%EV -12.97%E -7.82%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.68%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.22%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-24 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.80%EV -15.07%E -9.30%K -24.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -12.68%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-24 17:19
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -7.21%E -4.07%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -15.11%E -4.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -6.72%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-24 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.63%EV -14.02%E -8.55%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.66%EV -15.11%E -4.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.71%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-24 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -12.45%E -7.45%K -18.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -15.11%E -4.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -16.05%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-24 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.10%EV -8.78%E -5.05%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -18.75%E -5.60%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.88%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-24 17:19
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.95%EV -10.88%E -6.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -19.96%E -6.05%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.80%EV -11.38%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-24 17:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%13.2%2026-08-24 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 13:09