The School of Odds

IF Elfsborg v Hammarby IF

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 1–2 Hammarby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prediction 23.50%4.25fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.515%
Kelly +0.669%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%23.60%23.41%25.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.923.904.3529%25%26%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hammarby IF (Visit)

Prediction 51.39%1.95fair odd
EV -0.305%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.324%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.27%51.34%51.49%52.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.801.801.9460%55%56%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.79%25.06%25.10%26.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.603.9030%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -0.110%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:25
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -1.52%E -0.363%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Coolbet4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.78%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:15
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:25
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 14:00
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:20
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:25
1xBet4.03I 24.81%NM 23.27%EV -5.28%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 14:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 14:20
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 13:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:14
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 13:59
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:04
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:00
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.50%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 14:20
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.38%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 14:25
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
GTbets3.84I 26.04%NM 24.89%EV -9.75%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.27%EV -0.305%E -0.157%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 04:20
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 14:00
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 13:00
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:00
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 13:55
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 14:24
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 13:55
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:15
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 14:00
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -13.67%E -8.13%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 12:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 13:55
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -17.74%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -11.10%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-07-05 14:20
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-07-05 14:25