L’École des cotes

IF Elfsborg v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 1–2 Hammarby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 23.50%4.25cote équitable
EV +2.24%
Avantage +0.515%
Kelly +0.669%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.12%23.60%23.41%25.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.904.3528.57%25.49%25.64%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.39%1.95cote équitable
EV -0.305%
Avantage -0.157%
Kelly -0.324%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.27%51.34%51.49%52.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.801.801.9459.52%55.46%55.56%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.79%25.06%25.10%26.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.51%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -0.110%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:25
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -1.52%E -0.363%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Coolbet4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.78%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:15
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:25
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 14:00
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:20
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:25
1xBet4.03I 24.81%NM 23.27%EV -5.28%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 14:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 14:20
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 13:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:14
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 13:59
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:04
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:00
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.50%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 14:20
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.38%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 14:25
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
GTbets3.84I 26.04%NM 24.89%EV -9.75%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.27%EV -0.305%E -0.157%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 04:20
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 14:00
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 13:00
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:00
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 13:55
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 14:24
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 13:55
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:15
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 14:00
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -13.67%E -8.13%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 12:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 13:55
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -17.74%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -11.10%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-07-05 14:20
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-07-05 14:25