La escuela de los momiosIF Elfsborg v Hammarby IF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IF Elfsborg (Local)
Predicción 23.50%4.25momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.515%
Kelly +0.669%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.12%23.60%23.41%25.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.923.904.3528.57%25.49%25.64%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hammarby IF (Visitante)
Predicción 51.39%1.95momio equitativo
EV -0.305%
Ventaja -0.157%
Kelly -0.324%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.27%51.34%51.49%52.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.801.801.9459.52%55.46%55.56%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.11%3.98momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.718%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.79%25.06%25.10%26.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.51%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -0.110%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -1.52%E -0.363%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Coolbet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.78%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Bovada | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Everygame | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.27%EV -5.28%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| LeoVegas | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 13:59 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.50%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.38%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| GTbets | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.89%EV -9.75%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.27%EV -0.305%E -0.157%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -13.67%E -8.13%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 13:00 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 13:00 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 12:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -17.74%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -11.10%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |