StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Elfsborg v Hammarby IF

Matchstart: 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Slutresultat: IF Elfsborg 1–2 Hammarby IF

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Elfsborg (Hemma)

Prognos 23.50%4.25rättvist odds
EV +2.24%
Fördel +0.515%
Kelly +0.669%
Tillväxt +0.015%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.12%23.60%23.41%25.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.923.904.3528.57%25.49%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Borta)

Prognos 51.39%1.95rättvist odds
EV -0.305%
Fördel -0.157%
Kelly -0.324%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.27%51.34%51.49%52.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.681.801.801.9459.52%55.46%55.56%51.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.11%3.98rättvist odds
EV -2.08%
Fördel -0.534%
Kelly -0.718%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.79%25.06%25.10%26.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.51%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: IF Elfsborg (Hemma): 23.50%; Hammarby IF (Borta): 51.39%; Oavgjort: 25.11%. För IF Elfsborg (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.25. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.35, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.24%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -0.110%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:25
Pinnacle🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -1.52%E -0.363%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Coolbet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.78%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Bovada🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:15
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Everygame🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 14:00
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:20
Betsson🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:25
1xBet🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.27%EV -5.28%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 14:10
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 13:55
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:14
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 13:59
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:00
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.50%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.38%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 14:25
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
GTbets🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.89%EV -9.75%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.27%EV -0.305%E -0.157%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 04:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 14:00
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 13:00
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:00
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 13:55
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 14:24
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -13.67%E -8.13%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 12:59
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 13:55
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -17.74%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -11.10%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-07-05 14:20
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-07-05 14:25