A Escola das Odds

IF Elfsborg v Hammarby IF

Início: 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 1–2 Hammarby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Previsão 23.50%4.25odd justa
EV +2.24%
Vantagem +0.515%
Kelly +0.669%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.12%23.60%23.41%25.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.923.904.3528.57%25.49%25.64%22.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hammarby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 51.39%1.95odd justa
EV -0.305%
Vantagem -0.157%
Kelly -0.324%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.27%51.34%51.49%52.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.801.801.9459.52%55.46%55.56%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.11%3.98odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -0.718%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.79%25.06%25.10%26.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.603.9030.30%27.51%27.78%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.50%EV +2.24%E +0.515%K +0.669%G +0.015%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.07%EV -3.39%E -1.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-05 14:25
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -0.110%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:25
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.84%EV -1.52%E -0.363%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Coolbet4.15I 24.10%NM 23.21%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.78%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.01%EV -3.34%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%EV -2.46%E -0.593%K -0.781%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.94%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:15
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:25
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -4.93%E -2.66%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:25
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 14:00
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:20
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -4.81%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.15%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:25
1xBet4.03I 24.81%NM 23.27%EV -5.28%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.52%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.21%EV -6.60%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 14:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 14:20
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 13:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 14:14
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:25
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -9.04%E -5.11%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 13:59
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:04
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:00
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 14:05
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.50%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 14:20
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.98%EV -9.55%E -5.43%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.38%E -3.88%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 14:25
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.47%E -3.56%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.92%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.64%E -4.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-05 14:25
GTbets3.84I 26.04%NM 24.89%EV -9.75%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.27%EV -0.305%E -0.157%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 04:20
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 14:00
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -5.96%E -3.26%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 13:00
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.59%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 14:00
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -6.99%E -3.86%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.53%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 13:55
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 14:24
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 13:55
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:15
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-05 14:00
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.94%EV -13.67%E -8.13%K -20.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -17.15%E -5.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 13:00
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -7.50%E -4.17%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 12:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -10.07%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 13:55
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -17.74%E -5.07%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -11.10%E -6.41%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -9.61%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-05 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-07-05 14:20
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-07-05 14:25
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-07-05 14:25