Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v Örgryte IS

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 8–1 Örgryte IS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 78.90%1.27fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -12.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.36%78.90%78.90%81.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.161.171.2391.74%85.95%85.47%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örgryte IS (Visit)

Prediction 7.88%12.69fair odd
EV +26.06%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.453%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.05%7.94%7.87%10.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0012.1312.0016.0011.11%8.24%8.33%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.22%7.56fair odd
EV +6.03%
Edge +0.751%
Kelly +0.858%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 8.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.52%13.16%13.23%14.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.977.008.0216.67%14.35%14.29%12.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 78.90%; Örgryte IS (Visit): 7.88%; Draw: 13.22%. For Örgryte IS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.69. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +26.06%E +1.63%K +1.74%G +0.453%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%2.1%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Casumo🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:46
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:55
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.69%EV -14.00%E -12.84%K -155.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.20%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.67I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV +7.71%E +0.564%K +0.608%G +0.047%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.85%EV +6.03%E +0.751%K +0.858%G +0.052%5.3%2026-04-18 12:55
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:39
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:35
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 12:29
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.17%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.33%EV +0.851%E +0.066%K +0.072%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -2.95%E -2.40%K -12.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:30
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%6.7%2026-04-18 12:53
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:55
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.73%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%11.93I 8.38%NM 7.85%EV -6.00%E -0.503%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.42%EV -7.72%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:55
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -9.39%E -0.817%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:25
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:23
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%8.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:54
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetAnything🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.40%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%10.65I 9.39%NM 8.65%EV -16.09%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -12.75%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -17.27%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -4.15%E -0.573%K -0.664%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 12:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 12:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.88%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-04-18 12:55
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.74%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%2.4%2026-04-18 12:55