A Escola das Odds

Hammarby IF v Örgryte IS

Início: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 8–1 Örgryte IS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Previsão 78.90%1.27odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -12.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.36%78.90%78.90%81.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.091.161.171.2391.74%85.95%85.47%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Örgryte IS (Visitante)

Previsão 7.88%12.69odd justa
EV +26.06%
Vantagem +1.63%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescimento +0.453%

pressupondo odds máximas de 16.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.05%7.94%7.87%10.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.0012.1312.0016.0011.11%8.24%8.33%6.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 13.22%7.56odd justa
EV +6.03%
Vantagem +0.751%
Kelly +0.858%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.52%13.16%13.23%14.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.006.977.008.0216.67%14.35%14.29%12.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +26.06%E +1.63%K +1.74%G +0.453%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%2.1%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:46
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:54
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:55
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:25
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:24
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.69%EV -14.00%E -12.84%K -155.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.20%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.67I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV +7.71%E +0.564%K +0.608%G +0.047%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.85%EV +6.03%E +0.751%K +0.858%G +0.052%5.3%2026-04-18 12:55
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:39
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:35
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 12:29
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.17%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.33%EV +0.851%E +0.066%K +0.072%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -2.95%E -2.40%K -12.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:30
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%6.7%2026-04-18 12:53
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:25
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:55
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 78.73%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%11.93I 8.38%NM 7.85%EV -6.00%E -0.503%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.42%EV -7.72%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:55
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -9.39%E -0.817%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:25
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:23
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%8.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:55
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:54
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:25
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetAnything1.19I 84.03%NM 77.40%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%10.65I 9.39%NM 8.65%EV -16.09%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -12.75%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -17.27%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -4.15%E -0.573%K -0.664%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 12:54
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 12:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.88%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-04-18 12:55
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.74%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%2.4%2026-04-18 12:55