La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hammarby IF v Örgryte IS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hammarby IF (Local)
Predicción 78.90%1.27momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -2.40%
Kelly -12.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.36%78.90%78.90%81.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.161.171.2391.74%85.95%85.47%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Örgryte IS (Visitante)
Predicción 7.88%12.69momio equitativo
EV +26.06%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.453%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.05%7.94%7.87%10.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0012.1312.0016.0011.11%8.24%8.33%6.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 13.22%7.56momio equitativo
EV +6.03%
Ventaja +0.751%
Kelly +0.858%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.52%13.16%13.23%14.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.977.008.0216.67%14.35%14.29%12.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +26.06%E +1.63%K +1.74%G +0.453% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 12:46 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 12:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 12:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 80.69%EV -14.00%E -12.84%K -155.54%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.20%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 13.67I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV +7.71%E +0.564%K +0.608%G +0.047% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.85%EV +6.03%E +0.751%K +0.858%G +0.052% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 12:35 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 12:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 12:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 12:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.17%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.33%EV +0.851%E +0.066%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -2.95%E -2.40%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| Bovada | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:53 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| William Hill | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 12:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| GTbets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.73%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 11.93I 8.38%NM 7.85%EV -6.00%E -0.503%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.42%EV -7.72%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -9.39%E -0.817%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 12:25 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 12:23 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 12:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.40%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.65%EV -16.09%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -12.75%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -17.27%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -4.15%E -0.573%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 12:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 12:24 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 12:25 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 12:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 12:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 09:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 09:34 |
| BetUS | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-18 12:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.88% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.74% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |