L’École des cotes

Hammarby IF v Örgryte IS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

Score final : Hammarby IF 8–1 Örgryte IS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 78.90%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -12.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.36%78.90%78.90%81.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.161.171.2391.74%85.95%85.47%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örgryte IS (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.88%12.69cote équitable
EV +26.06%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +1.74%
Croissance +0.453%

avec la cote maximale 16.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.05%7.94%7.87%10.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.1312.0016.0011.11%8.24%8.33%6.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.22%7.56cote équitable
EV +6.03%
Avantage +0.751%
Kelly +0.858%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 8.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.52%13.16%13.23%14.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.977.008.0216.67%14.35%14.29%12.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +26.06%E +1.63%K +1.74%G +0.453%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%2.1%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:46
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:54
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:55
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:25
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:24
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.69%EV -14.00%E -12.84%K -155.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.20%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.67I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV +7.71%E +0.564%K +0.608%G +0.047%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.85%EV +6.03%E +0.751%K +0.858%G +0.052%5.3%2026-04-18 12:55
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:39
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:35
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 12:29
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.17%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.33%EV +0.851%E +0.066%K +0.072%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -2.95%E -2.40%K -12.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:30
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%6.7%2026-04-18 12:53
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:25
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:55
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 78.73%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%11.93I 8.38%NM 7.85%EV -6.00%E -0.503%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.42%EV -7.72%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:55
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -9.39%E -0.817%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:25
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:23
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%8.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:55
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:54
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:25
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetAnything1.19I 84.03%NM 77.40%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%10.65I 9.39%NM 8.65%EV -16.09%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -12.75%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -17.27%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -4.15%E -0.573%K -0.664%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 12:54
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 12:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.88%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-04-18 12:55
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.74%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%2.4%2026-04-18 12:55