مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hammarby IF v Örgryte IS

البداية: 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Hammarby IF 8–1 Örgryte IS

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hammarby IF (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.90%1.27السعر العادل
EV -2.95%
الأفضلية -2.40%
Kelly -12.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.36%78.90%78.90%81.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.091.161.171.2391.74%85.95%85.47%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Örgryte IS (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.88%12.69السعر العادل
EV +26.06%
الأفضلية +1.63%
Kelly +1.74%
النمو +0.453%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 16.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.05%7.94%7.87%10.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.0012.1312.0016.0011.11%8.24%8.33%6.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 13.22%7.56السعر العادل
EV +6.03%
الأفضلية +0.751%
Kelly +0.858%
النمو +0.052%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.52%13.16%13.23%14.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.977.008.0216.67%14.35%14.29%12.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +26.06%E +1.63%K +1.74%G +0.453%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%2.1%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:46
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:54
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV +18.18%E +1.21%K +1.30%G +0.236%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:55
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:25
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.34%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.97%EV -11.42%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 12:24
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.69%EV -14.00%E -12.84%K -155.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV +10.31%E +0.736%K +0.793%G +0.082%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -10.76%E -1.59%K -1.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 81.20%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.67I 7.32%NM 6.95%EV +7.71%E +0.564%K +0.608%G +0.047%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.85%EV +6.03%E +0.751%K +0.858%G +0.052%5.3%2026-04-18 12:55
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 12:35
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:39
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 78.30%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:35
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.43%E +0.187%K +0.202%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 12:29
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.17%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.33%EV +0.851%E +0.066%K +0.072%G +0.001%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -2.95%E -2.40%K -12.84%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.02%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:30
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 80.10%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.09%EV +2.46%E +0.317%K +0.364%G +0.009%6.7%2026-04-18 12:53
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 12:40
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 12:25
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -5.45%E -0.454%K -0.496%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:55
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 78.73%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%11.93I 8.38%NM 7.85%EV -6.00%E -0.503%K -0.549%G +0.000%6.98I 14.33%NM 13.42%EV -7.72%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:55
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.18%EV -9.39%E -0.817%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:25
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.848%E -0.113%K -0.130%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:23
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 80.11%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +5.76%E +0.720%K +0.823%G +0.047%8.5%2026-04-18 12:55
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:55
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 12:54
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.26%E -8.06%K -61.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:25
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 79.25%EV -11.63%E -10.38%K -96.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.07%EV -13.33%E -1.21%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-18 12:54
BetAnything1.19I 84.03%NM 77.40%EV -6.11%E -5.13%K -32.15%G +0.000%10.65I 9.39%NM 8.65%EV -16.09%E -1.51%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -12.75%E -1.93%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:54
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.43%EV -7.69%E -6.57%K -45.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.63%EV -17.27%E -1.64%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 12:54
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.48%E -7.31%K -52.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -4.15%E -0.573%K -0.664%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 12:55
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 12:54
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -21.21%E -2.12%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.37%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 12:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:25
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.90%E -5.85%K -38.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:24
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.49%EV -10.84%E -9.59%K -83.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.10%EV -25.15%E -2.65%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 12:54
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -5.32%E -4.43%K -26.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.59%EV -18.03%E -2.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -10.05%E -8.82%K -71.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -29.09%E -3.23%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 12:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 82.09%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.7%2026-04-18 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.88%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-04-18 12:55
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.36%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.74%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%2.4%2026-04-18 12:55