Школа коэффициентов

Motherwell v Celtic

Начало: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Итог: Motherwell 2–3 Celtic

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Motherwell (Хозяева)

Прогноз 20.24%4.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.24%
Преимущество +0.636%
Kelly +0.791%
Рост +0.026%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.60%20.25%20.19%21.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.684.685.1023.81%21.37%21.39%19.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Celtic (Гости)

Прогноз 57.89%1.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.75%
Преимущество -1.64%
Kelly -4.05%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.27%57.93%57.85%59.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.47%62.50%59.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 21.87%4.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.88%
Преимущество +0.818%
Kelly +1.04%
Рост +0.040%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.68%21.81%21.95%22.56%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.254.204.7525.00%23.52%23.81%21.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +3.88%E +0.818%K +1.04%G +0.040%7.0%2026-05-13 18:00
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -2.42%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV +1.48%E +0.319%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-13 18:55
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:59
1xBet4.57I 21.88%NM 21.01%EV -7.49%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.16%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 18:55
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:10
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:45
BetUS4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:44
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 18:10
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -5.87%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:45
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:50
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:20
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:16
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:16
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:54
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:11
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:15
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:16
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:15
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:16
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 20.25%EV -9.91%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.77%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 18:35
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34%EV -14.33%E -9.68%K -29.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-05-13 18:55