النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Motherwell v Celtic

البداية: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Motherwell 2–3 Celtic

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Motherwell (المضيف)

التنبؤ 20.24%4.94السعر العادل
EV +3.24%
الأفضلية +0.636%
Kelly +0.791%
النمو +0.026%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.60%20.25%20.19%21.62%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.684.685.1023.81%21.37%21.39%19.61%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Celtic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.89%1.73السعر العادل
EV -2.75%
الأفضلية -1.64%
Kelly -4.05%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.27%57.93%57.85%59.91%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.47%62.50%59.52%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.87%4.57السعر العادل
EV +3.88%
الأفضلية +0.818%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.040%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.68%21.81%21.95%22.56%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.254.204.7525.00%23.52%23.81%21.05%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Motherwell (المضيف)⁩: ⁨20.24%⁩؛ ⁨Celtic (الضيف)⁩: ⁨57.89%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨21.87%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨تعادل⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨4.57⁩. عرضت شركتا مراهنات (2) سعري إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨4.75⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+3.88%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +3.88%E +0.818%K +1.04%G +0.040%7.0%2026-05-13 18:00
Pinnacle🎯4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -2.42%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV +1.48%E +0.319%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-13 18:55
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:59
1xBet🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 21.01%EV -7.49%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.16%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 18:55
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:10
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Bovada🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:45
BetUS🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:44
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -5.87%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:45
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:50
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:20
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:16
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:16
Bet Victor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:54
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:11
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:15
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:16
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:16
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.25%EV -9.91%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.77%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34%EV -14.33%E -9.68%K -29.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-13 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-05-13 18:55