Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Motherwell v Celtic

Początek: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Motherwell 2–3 Celtic

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Motherwell (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 20.24%4.94kurs godziwy
EV +3.24%
Przewaga +0.636%
Kelly +0.791%
Wzrost +0.026%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.60%20.25%20.19%21.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.204.684.685.1023.81%21.37%21.39%19.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Celtic (Goście)

Prognoza 57.89%1.73kurs godziwy
EV -2.75%
Przewaga -1.64%
Kelly -4.05%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.27%57.93%57.85%59.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.47%62.50%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.87%4.57kurs godziwy
EV +3.88%
Przewaga +0.818%
Kelly +1.04%
Wzrost +0.040%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.68%21.81%21.95%22.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.254.204.7525.00%23.52%23.81%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Motherwell (Gospodarze): 20.24%; Celtic (Goście): 57.89%; Remis: 21.87%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.57. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.75, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.88%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +3.88%E +0.818%K +1.04%G +0.040%7.0%2026-05-13 18:00
Pinnacle🎯4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -2.42%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV +1.48%E +0.319%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-13 18:55
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:59
1xBet🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 21.01%EV -7.49%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.16%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 18:55
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Everygame🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:10
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Bovada🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:45
BetUS🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:44
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -5.87%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:45
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:50
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:20
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:16
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:16
Bet Victor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:54
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:11
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:15
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:16
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:16
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.25%EV -9.91%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.77%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34%EV -14.33%E -9.68%K -29.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-05-13 18:55