A Escola das Odds

Motherwell v Celtic

Início: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Final: Motherwell 2–3 Celtic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Motherwell (Local)

Previsão 20.24%4.94odd justa
EV +3.24%
Vantagem +0.636%
Kelly +0.791%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.60%20.25%20.19%21.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.684.685.1023.81%21.37%21.39%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celtic (Visitante)

Previsão 57.89%1.73odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -4.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.27%57.93%57.85%59.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.47%62.50%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.87%4.57odd justa
EV +3.88%
Vantagem +0.818%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.68%21.81%21.95%22.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.254.204.7525.00%23.52%23.81%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +3.88%E +0.818%K +1.04%G +0.040%7.0%2026-05-13 18:00
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -2.42%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV +1.48%E +0.319%K +0.406%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-13 18:55
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 17:59
1xBet4.57I 21.88%NM 21.01%EV -7.49%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.16%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 18:55
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:10
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:00
Bovada4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:45
BetUS4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 18:44
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 18:10
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -5.87%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:45
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:40
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 18:15
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:50
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:10
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:20
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 18:16
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:10
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:16
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:54
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:15
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:11
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:15
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:05
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 18:10
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:16
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 18:15
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:16
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:15
Unibet (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 20.25%EV -9.91%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.77%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 18:35
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34%EV -14.33%E -9.68%K -29.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-05-13 18:55