La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Motherwell v Celtic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motherwell (Local)
Predicción 20.24%4.94momio equitativo
EV +3.24%
Ventaja +0.636%
Kelly +0.791%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.60%20.25%20.19%21.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.684.685.1023.81%21.37%21.39%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Celtic (Visitante)
Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -4.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%57.93%57.85%59.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.601.6867.57%62.47%62.50%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.87%4.57momio equitativo
EV +3.88%
Ventaja +0.818%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.040%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.68%21.81%21.95%22.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.254.204.7525.00%23.52%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +3.88%E +0.818%K +1.04%G +0.040% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -2.42%E -0.503%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.19%EV -5.65%E -3.46%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV +1.48%E +0.319%K +0.406%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.01%EV -7.49%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.16%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:00 |
| Bovada | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 18:45 |
| BetUS | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -7.89%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 18:44 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -5.87%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-13 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.92%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.63%EV +3.24%E +0.636%K +0.791%G +0.026% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -3.84%E -0.809%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.06%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.24%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 18:16 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -10.93%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.79%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 18:16 |
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-13 18:54 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV +1.22%E +0.244%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -9.12%E -5.81%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:11 |
| Bet Right | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.88%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.28%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -14.98%E -3.57%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.38%E -4.61%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-13 18:10 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.22%E -3.84%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:16 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -0.805%E -0.164%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 18:16 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -2.83%E -0.590%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.86%E -7.05%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.25%EV -9.91%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.77%EV -9.70%E -6.22%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.33%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-13 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -12.95%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34%EV -14.33%E -9.68%K -29.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-13 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.60% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 18:55 |