默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Motherwell v Aberdeen

开赛时间: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Motherwell (主队)

预测 51.32%1.95公平赔率
EV -3.00%
优势 -1.59%
Kelly -3.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.89

博彩公司预测分布
49.89%51.29%51.30%52.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.801.801.8958.14%55.42%55.56%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Aberdeen (客队)

预测 23.28%4.30公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.364%
Kelly -0.476%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.23

博彩公司预测分布
22.47%23.27%23.36%24.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.984.004.2327.03%25.13%25.00%23.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.40%3.94公平赔率
EV -0.932%
优势 -0.239%
Kelly -0.321%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.14%25.44%25.34%26.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.663.653.9028.99%27.29%27.40%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Motherwell (主队):51.32%;Aberdeen (客队):23.28%;平局:25.40%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.94。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.90,期望值为-0.932%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -1.54%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:41
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 21:01
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:26
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:16
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -5.03%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.69%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:21
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.71%E -3.39%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -0.932%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.72%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:16
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 17:56
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 17:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -9.67%E -5.50%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.35%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -10.70%E -6.15%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.73%E -6.82%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-09-15 18:41
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:35