Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Motherwell v Aberdeen

Начало: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Итог: Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Motherwell (Хозяева)

Прогноз 51.32%1.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.00%
Преимущество -1.59%
Kelly -3.37%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.89

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.89%51.29%51.30%52.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.801.801.8958.14%55.42%55.56%52.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Aberdeen (Гости)

Прогноз 23.28%4.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.54%
Преимущество -0.364%
Kelly -0.476%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.47%23.27%23.36%24.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.703.984.004.2327.03%25.13%25.00%23.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 25.40%3.94справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.932%
Преимущество -0.239%
Kelly -0.321%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.14%25.44%25.34%26.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.453.663.653.9028.99%27.29%27.40%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Motherwell (Хозяева): 51.32%; Aberdeen (Гости): 23.28%; Ничья: 25.40%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.94. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.90, математическое ожидание — -0.932%; положительного ожидания не было.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -1.54%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:41
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 21:01
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:26
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:16
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -5.03%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.69%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:21
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.71%E -3.39%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -0.932%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.72%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:16
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 17:56
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 17:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -9.67%E -5.50%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.35%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -10.70%E -6.15%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.73%E -6.82%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-09-15 18:41
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:35