Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Motherwell (Local): 51.32%; Aberdeen (Visitante): 23.28%; Empate: 25.40%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.94. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.90, con un valor esperado de -0.932%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -1.54%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 21:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 21:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 18:26 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 18:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -5.03%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.69%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.71%E -3.39%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -0.932%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.72%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 18:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 17:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -9.67%E -5.50%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.35%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -10.70%E -6.15%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.73%E -6.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 18:40 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59% | 0.2% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 18:35 |