Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motherwell v Aberdeen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Score final : Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Motherwell (Local)

Prévision 51.32%1.95cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.89%51.29%51.30%52.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.8958.14%55.42%55.56%52.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aberdeen (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.28%4.30cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.364%
Kelly -0.476%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.47%23.27%23.36%24.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.984.004.2327.03%25.13%25.00%23.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.40%3.94cote équitable
EV -0.932%
Avantage -0.239%
Kelly -0.321%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.14%25.44%25.34%26.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.663.653.9028.99%27.29%27.40%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Motherwell (Local) : 51.32% ; Aberdeen (Visiteur) : 23.28% ; Match nul : 25.40%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.94. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.90, pour une espérance de -0.932% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -1.54%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:41
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 21:01
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:26
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:16
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -5.03%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.69%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:21
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.71%E -3.39%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -0.932%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.72%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:16
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 17:56
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 17:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -9.67%E -5.50%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.35%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -10.70%E -6.15%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.73%E -6.82%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-09-15 18:41
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:35