Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Motherwell v Aberdeen

Początek: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Motherwell (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 51.32%1.95kurs godziwy
EV -3.00%
Przewaga -1.59%
Kelly -3.37%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.89

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
49.89%51.29%51.30%52.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.801.801.8958.14%55.42%55.56%52.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Aberdeen (Goście)

Prognoza 23.28%4.30kurs godziwy
EV -1.54%
Przewaga -0.364%
Kelly -0.476%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.47%23.27%23.36%24.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.703.984.004.2327.03%25.13%25.00%23.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.40%3.94kurs godziwy
EV -0.932%
Przewaga -0.239%
Kelly -0.321%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.14%25.44%25.34%26.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.453.663.653.9028.99%27.29%27.40%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Motherwell (Gospodarze): 51.32%; Aberdeen (Goście): 23.28%; Remis: 25.40%. Dla wyniku Remis oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.94. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.90, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.932%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.05%EV -3.00%E -1.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV -1.54%E -0.364%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:41
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.06%E -2.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.24%E -0.533%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.20%E -0.572%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 21:01
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:25
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 18:26
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:16
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:40
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.08%E -3.32%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 21:00
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -5.03%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.69%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:21
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.01%EV -6.60%E -3.62%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.19%EV -7.11%E -3.93%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.71%E -3.39%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 18:40
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -0.932%E -0.239%K -0.321%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:45
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.72%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.58%EV -7.54%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 18:16
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.47%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 17:56
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.89%E -1.72%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 17:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.62%E -4.23%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -8.14%E -4.54%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -8.65%E -4.86%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.06%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -7.28%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -9.67%E -5.50%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.22%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.35%EV -10.19%E -5.82%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.34%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -10.70%E -6.15%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.21%E -6.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -11.55%E -3.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.48%EV -11.73%E -6.82%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -13.88%E -3.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.55%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-09-15 18:41
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:41
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-15 18:35