Language:English
Kilmarnock v Hearts
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kilmarnock (Local)
Prediction 21.60%4.63fair odd
EV +10.14%
Edge +1.99%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.251%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%21.48%21.65%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.494.405.1025.64%22.28%22.73%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hearts (Visit)
Prediction 54.51%1.83fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.60%54.42%57.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.20%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.499%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.23%23.92%23.93%24.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.863.854.1029.41%25.93%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kilmarnock (Local): 21.60%; Hearts (Visit): 54.51%; Draw: 23.89%. For Kilmarnock (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -10.60%E -6.46%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -12.24%E -7.60%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -12.78%E -7.99%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -1.30%E -0.285%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.22%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -3.03%E -0.675%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.81%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.70%EV -2.76%E -0.678%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 19:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -10.37%E -2.50%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.82%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 54.12%EV -16.05%E -10.42%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.51%EV -18.77%E -5.52%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |