مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kilmarnock v Hearts

البداية: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kilmarnock (المضيف)

التنبؤ 21.60%4.63السعر العادل
EV +10.14%
الأفضلية +1.99%
Kelly +2.47%
النمو +0.251%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.15%21.48%21.65%23.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.494.405.1025.64%22.28%22.73%19.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hearts (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.51%1.83السعر العادل
EV -4.06%
الأفضلية -2.31%
Kelly -5.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.33%54.60%54.42%57.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.20%58.82%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.89%4.19السعر العادل
EV -2.04%
الأفضلية -0.499%
Kelly -0.659%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.23%23.92%23.93%24.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.863.854.1029.41%25.93%25.97%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -10.60%E -6.46%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:45
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -12.24%E -7.60%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -12.78%E -7.99%K -21.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:45
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:44
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:45
1xBet4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -1.30%E -0.285%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.22%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:50
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:55
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -3.03%E -0.675%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.81%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.70%EV -2.76%E -0.678%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:45
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:35
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:40
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:39
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:40
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:50
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:45
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:40
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:40
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:44
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:45
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:05
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -10.37%E -2.50%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 19:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.82%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 19:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:54
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 54.12%EV -16.05%E -10.42%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.51%EV -18.77%E -5.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-14 19:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-14 19:45