L’École des cotes

Kilmarnock v Hearts

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 21.60%4.63cote équitable
EV +10.14%
Avantage +1.99%
Kelly +2.47%
Croissance +0.251%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.15%21.48%21.65%23.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.494.405.1025.64%22.28%22.73%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hearts (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.51%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.06%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -5.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%54.60%54.42%57.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.20%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.89%4.19cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.499%
Kelly -0.659%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.23%23.92%23.93%24.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.863.854.1029.41%25.93%25.97%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -10.60%E -6.46%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:45
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -12.24%E -7.60%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -12.78%E -7.99%K -21.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:45
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:44
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:45
1xBet4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -1.30%E -0.285%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.22%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:50
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:55
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -3.03%E -0.675%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.81%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.70%EV -2.76%E -0.678%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:45
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:35
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:40
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:39
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:40
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:50
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:45
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:40
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:40
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:44
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:45
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:05
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -10.37%E -2.50%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 19:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.82%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 19:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:54
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 54.12%EV -16.05%E -10.42%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.51%EV -18.77%E -5.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-14 19:45