La scuola delle quote

Kilmarnock v Hearts

Inizio: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kilmarnock (Casa)

Previsione 21.60%4.63quota equa
EV +10.14%
Vantaggio +1.99%
Kelly +2.47%
Crescita +0.251%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.15%21.48%21.65%23.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.494.405.1025.64%22.28%22.73%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hearts (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.51%1.83quota equa
EV -4.06%
Vantaggio -2.31%
Kelly -5.34%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.33%54.60%54.42%57.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.20%58.82%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.89%4.19quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -0.499%
Kelly -0.659%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.23%23.92%23.93%24.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.863.854.1029.41%25.93%25.97%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -10.60%E -6.46%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:45
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -12.24%E -7.60%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:55
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -12.78%E -7.99%K -21.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 19:45
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:44
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:45
1xBet4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -1.30%E -0.285%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.22%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:50
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:55
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:55
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:44
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -3.03%E -0.675%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.81%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.70%EV -2.76%E -0.678%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:45
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:35
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:40
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:39
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:35
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:40
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:50
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:45
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:40
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:40
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:44
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:45
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:45
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:40
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:05
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -10.37%E -2.50%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 19:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.82%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 19:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:54
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 54.12%EV -16.05%E -10.42%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.51%EV -18.77%E -5.52%K -7.82%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-14 19:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-03-14 19:55
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95%1.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-14 19:45