La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Kilmarnock v Hearts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kilmarnock (Local)
Predicción 21.60%4.63momio equitativo
EV +10.14%
Ventaja +1.99%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +0.251%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.15%21.48%21.65%23.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.494.405.1025.64%22.28%22.73%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hearts (Visitante)
Predicción 54.51%1.83momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -5.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%54.60%54.42%57.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.691.701.7664.94%59.20%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.89%4.19momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.499%
Kelly -0.659%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.23%23.92%23.93%24.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.863.854.1029.41%25.93%25.97%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| LeoVegas | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.22%EV -10.60%E -6.46%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| BetRivers | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV +10.14%E +1.99%K +2.47%G +0.251% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -12.24%E -7.60%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -10.06%E -6.09%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.98%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -12.78%E -7.99%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV +7.98%E +1.60%K +2.00%G +0.159% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| 1xBet | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.98%EV -1.30%E -0.285%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.80%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.22%EV -5.39%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.04%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.88%E -4.66%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| Pinnacle | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.49%EV -3.03%E -0.675%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.81%EV -4.06%E -2.31%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.70%EV -2.76%E -0.678%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -2.04%E -0.499%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Bet Right | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -6.79%E -3.97%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Paddy Power | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.61%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 19:39 |
| Everygame | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -6.49%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 19:35 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.15%E -2.96%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 19:50 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.34%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Neds | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Bovada | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:44 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.33%E -4.31%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.24%E -3.63%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.42%E -5.01%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.41%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.97%E -5.37%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -10.37%E -2.50%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.70%E -3.29%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -11.15%E -6.84%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.12%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.82%EV -13.87%E -8.78%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.61%E -2.63%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.37%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 54.12%EV -16.05%E -10.42%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.51%EV -18.77%E -5.52%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.95% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 19:45 |