Language:English
Hibernian v Motherwell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hibernian (Local)
Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.40%44.50%44.50%45.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.1650.00%47.64%47.62%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motherwell (Visit)
Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV +1.05%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.417%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%28.72%28.83%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.5132.26%31.00%31.25%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.70%3.74fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.324%
Kelly -0.445%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%26.79%26.67%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.85%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hibernian (Local): 44.51%; Motherwell (Visit): 28.79%; Draw: 26.70%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -6.98%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.417%G +0.004% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -1.83%E -0.537%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -9.20%E -4.51%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.26% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |