L’École des cotes

Hibernian v Motherwell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:32 UTC

Score final : Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 44.51%2.25cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.40%44.50%44.50%45.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.1650.00%47.64%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Motherwell (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV +1.05%
Avantage +0.299%
Kelly +0.417%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.22%28.72%28.83%29.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.203.5132.26%31.00%31.25%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.70%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -0.445%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.79%26.67%27.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.85%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -6.98%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.417%G +0.004%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -1.83%E -0.537%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:29
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -9.20%E -4.51%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:29
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:29
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:29
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 11:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 11:29
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:18
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:30
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%4.1%2026-05-16 11:30