La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hibernian v Motherwell
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hibernian (Local)
Predicción 44.51%2.25momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.40%44.50%44.50%45.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1650.00%47.64%47.62%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motherwell (Visitante)
Predicción 28.79%3.47momio equitativo
EV +1.05%
Ventaja +0.299%
Kelly +0.417%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.22%28.72%28.83%29.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.203.5132.26%31.00%31.25%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.70%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.324%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.79%26.67%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.85%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -6.98%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.417%G +0.004% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -1.83%E -0.537%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -9.20%E -4.51%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:18 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.26% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 11:30 |