مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hibernian v Motherwell

البداية: 2026-05-16 11:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hibernian (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.51%2.25السعر العادل
EV -3.86%
الأفضلية -1.79%
Kelly -3.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.40%44.50%44.50%45.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.102.102.1650.00%47.64%47.62%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Motherwell (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.79%3.47السعر العادل
EV +1.05%
الأفضلية +0.299%
Kelly +0.417%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.22%28.72%28.83%29.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.233.203.5132.26%31.00%31.25%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.70%3.74السعر العادل
EV -1.20%
الأفضلية -0.324%
Kelly -0.445%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.52%26.79%26.67%27.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.85%28.99%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -6.98%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.417%G +0.004%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -1.83%E -0.537%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:29
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -9.20%E -4.51%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:29
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:29
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:29
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 11:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 11:29
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:18
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:30
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%4.1%2026-05-16 11:30