A Escola das Odds

Hibernian v Motherwell

Início: 2026-05-16 11:32 UTC

Final: Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hibernian (Local)

Previsão 44.51%2.25odd justa
EV -3.86%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.40%44.50%44.50%45.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.1650.00%47.64%47.62%46.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Motherwell (Visitante)

Previsão 28.79%3.47odd justa
EV +1.05%
Vantagem +0.299%
Kelly +0.417%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.22%28.72%28.83%29.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.233.203.5132.26%31.00%31.25%28.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.70%3.74odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.324%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.52%26.79%26.67%27.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.473.453.7030.30%28.85%28.99%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -6.98%E -3.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.34%EV +1.05%E +0.299%K +0.417%G +0.004%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.73%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-16 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -0.680%E -0.197%K -0.277%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:30
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -1.83%E -0.537%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 11:29
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.42%E -3.57%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -9.20%E -4.51%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:29
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:29
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 11:29
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.99%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -5.21%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 11:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 11:29
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.20%E -0.324%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 11:29
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:29
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 11:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.31%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 11:30
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.54%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 11:29
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:18
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.88%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:29
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.88%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.87%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:30
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -7.87%E -3.80%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.21%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:29
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.55%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.7%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-16 11:30
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-16 11:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 44.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%4.1%2026-05-16 11:30