默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hibernian v Celtic

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

最终结果: Hibernian 1–2 Celtic

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hibernian (主队)

预测 17.26%5.80公平赔率
EV +12.16%
优势 +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
增长率 +0.269%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.44%17.30%17.21%19.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.225.006.5020.83%19.15%20.00%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

Celtic (客队)

预测 61.83%1.62公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.666%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
59.33%61.78%61.91%64.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.50%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.91%4.78公平赔率
EV +1.84%
优势 +0.377%
Kelly +0.475%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 4.87

博彩公司预测分布
19.66%20.92%20.88%21.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.404.404.8723.81%22.72%22.73%20.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hibernian (主队):17.26%;Celtic (客队):61.83%;平局:20.91%。 对于“Hibernian (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.80。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.50,对应+12.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +12.16%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.269%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
Pinnacle🎯5.87I 17.04%NM 16.43%EV +1.29%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -1.93%E -0.411%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:56
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
1xBet🎯5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -2.34%E -0.413%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.66%EV +1.84%E +0.377%K +0.475%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -0.672%E -0.141%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:55
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 10:55
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.81%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:54
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:54
BetUS🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:55
NordicBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:55
Betsson🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
Bovada🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -7.68%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.72%E -6.66%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 10:50
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.96%E -7.61%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 10:53
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:41
NetBet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -13.43%E -9.60%K -33.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55