La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hibernian v Celtic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hibernian (Local)
Predicción 17.26%5.80momio equitativo
EV +12.16%
Ventaja +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.269%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.44%17.30%17.21%19.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.225.006.5020.83%19.15%20.00%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Celtic (Visitante)
Predicción 61.83%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.33%61.78%61.91%64.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.50%65.36%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.91%4.78momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.377%
Kelly +0.475%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.66%20.92%20.88%21.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.404.404.8723.81%22.72%22.73%20.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +12.16%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.269% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Pinnacle | 5.87I 17.04%NM 16.43%EV +1.29%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -1.93%E -0.411%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Bet Victor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:56 |
| Everygame | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| 1xBet | 5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -2.34%E -0.413%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.66%EV +1.84%E +0.377%K +0.475%G +0.009% | 4.4% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -0.672%E -0.141%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.81%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 10:54 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 10:54 |
| BetUS | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| Bovada | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -7.68%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 10:49 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.72%E -6.66%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-03 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.96%E -7.61%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 10:53 |
| TABtouch | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| betPARX | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Casumo | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 10:16 |
| Grosvenor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 10:16 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 10:41 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -13.43%E -9.60%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 10:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 10:55 |