Школа коэффициентов

Hibernian v Celtic

Начало: 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

Итог: Hibernian 1–2 Celtic

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Hibernian (Хозяева)

Прогноз 17.26%5.80справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.16%
Преимущество +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
Рост +0.269%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.44%17.30%17.21%19.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.225.006.5020.83%19.15%20.00%15.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Celtic (Гости)

Прогноз 61.83%1.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.07%
Преимущество -0.666%
Kelly -1.78%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.33%61.78%61.91%64.71%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.50%65.36%62.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 20.91%4.78справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.84%
Преимущество +0.377%
Kelly +0.475%
Рост +0.009%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.87

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.66%20.92%20.88%21.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.404.404.8723.81%22.72%22.73%20.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +12.16%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.269%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
Pinnacle5.87I 17.04%NM 16.43%EV +1.29%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -1.93%E -0.411%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:56
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
1xBet5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -2.34%E -0.413%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.66%EV +1.84%E +0.377%K +0.475%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
LowVig.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:54
BetOnline.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -0.672%E -0.141%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:55
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 10:55
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.81%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:54
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:50
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:54
BetUS5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:55
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:55
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
Bovada5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -7.68%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 10:55
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.72%E -6.66%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 10:50
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.96%E -7.61%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 10:53
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:41
NetBet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -13.43%E -9.60%K -33.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55