La scuola delle quote

Hibernian v Celtic

Inizio: 2026-05-03 11:00 UTC

Finale: Hibernian 1–2 Celtic

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hibernian (Casa)

Previsione 17.26%5.80quota equa
EV +12.16%
Vantaggio +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
Crescita +0.269%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.44%17.30%17.21%19.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.225.006.5020.83%19.15%20.00%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Celtic (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.83%1.62quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.666%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.33%61.78%61.91%64.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.531.531.6071.43%65.50%65.36%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.91%4.78quota equa
EV +1.84%
Vantaggio +0.377%
Kelly +0.475%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.66%20.92%20.88%21.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.404.404.8723.81%22.72%22.73%20.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +12.16%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.269%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
Pinnacle5.87I 17.04%NM 16.43%EV +1.29%E +0.219%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.56%EV -1.93%E -0.411%K -0.522%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:56
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -0.782%E -0.136%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
1xBet5.66I 17.67%NM 16.92%EV -2.34%E -0.413%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.66%EV +1.84%E +0.377%K +0.475%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-03 10:55
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
LowVig.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:54
BetOnline.ag5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -3.37%E -0.602%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -0.672%E -0.141%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 10:55
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 10:55
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -3.81%E -0.828%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.66%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 10:54
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:50
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.17%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:54
BetUS5.45I 18.35%NM 16.96%EV -5.96%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:55
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:55
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.82%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.01%E -3.96%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 10:50
Bovada5.35I 18.69%NM 17.32%EV -7.68%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 10:55
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -1.07%E -0.666%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 10:15
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:41
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -9.04%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 10:40
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:55
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.72%E -6.66%K -21.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-03 10:50
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.72%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.96%E -7.61%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -9.45%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 10:53
TABtouch4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:15
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -10.08%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:16
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.33%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 10:41
NetBet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -15.45%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -13.43%E -9.60%K -33.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 10:55
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -17.17%E -3.58%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -5.39%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.17%E -2.90%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 10:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-05-03 10:55
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-03 10:55